The Steelers come off of two straight losses to meet the Bengals on Monday night. while Cincinnati coming off a blowout loss to the Cowboys—a team that is looking more competent with Andy Dalton under center (though the competition hasn’t been stiff).
- Line: Steelers -14
- Total Points: 40.5
- Expected Weather: 42 degrees, 6% chance of rain, moderate winds.
*Odds via PointsBet
How will this AFC North contest shake out? Let’s take a look at three angles to bet this Monday Night matchup:
Bengals Under 13 Points (-110)
Pittsburgh’s defense is top-notch, though they have had an easy schedule, facing a slew of backup QBs. In Cincinnati, it’ll be the same situation. They should be able to lock down the Joe Burrow-less Bengals on a windy Monday night (Cincy is averaging just 10.33 points per game since their No. 1 pick went down). This is a good spot for the Steelers’ defense to rebound.
Drew Sample Under 20.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
While Sample has gained some life as a pass-catcher with Brandon Allen/Ryan Finley have taken over the QB reigns, he’ll go up against the Steelers and their No. 1 ranked passing unit against tight ends, per Football Outsiders’ DVOA.
James Conner Over 44.5 Yards (-115)
Pittsburgh’s offensive line has struggled. The team ranks 31st in Football Outsiders’ adjusted yards, however, the team shouldn’t necessarily have issues against the Bengals’ porous defensive line. Assuming he plays (and it’s not reported that he’s an emergency option), it’s easy to envision the Steelers using this game to get Conner back in tune with the offense. I also might take a flyer (very low) on Conner to get 75+ rushing yards at +275.