The Steelers-Ravens game is finally happened after being rescheduled numerous times due to COVID-19. Several players won’t play in the contest, including Lamar Jackson, an event that has caused the line to skyrocket from Pittsburgh +4 its current line.
- Current line: Steelers +10.5
- Current Total: 42
- Weather at Game Time: 38 degrees, 13mph winds, less than 1% chance of rain.
*Odds via DraftKings
RG3 Time For Baltimore
Robert Griffin III will get the start, which is his first since last year’s season finale where Jackson rested. RG3 went 11-for-21 as he ranked up just 96 passing yards in a meaningless 28-10 win over the Steelers. He did contribute 50 yards on the ground in a day where the Ravens tallied 223 total yards on the ground.
If Baltimore is going to pull the upset or even make it close, they’ll have to take a similar approach. Both J.K. Dobbins and Mark Ingram will return after enough time passed since being put on the COVID-19 list. The team will have a full stable of running backs but they will be without their top two centers and the coaching staff had to reshuffle the line with little time to prepare (don’t forget, All-Pro LT Ronnie Stanley is out for the season as well).
Other Ravens Out: DE Calais Campbell, DE Jihad Ward, and DT Justin Madubuike are all still on the Reserve/COVID-19 list. Defensive tackle Brandon Williams, who recently came off the reserve list, has been ruled out because of his injured ankle. Linebackers Matthew Judon and Pernell McPhee are out, though the team’s cornerback unit seems unscathed.
Top DFS Play: RB Benny Snell – Snell ($5,600 on DraftKings) is expected to lead the backfield in Pittsburgh and on this windy day, he’s a value play. I’m putting him in lineups in the Wed-Sun slate at that price given Baltimore’s COVID-19-woes on the defensive line.
Can the Ravens Keep it Close? In the two teams’ first matchup, Baltimore held Pittsburgh to just 221 yards. While Pittsburgh’s offense is talented the numbers may be a little skewed, as the Steelers’ offense rank just 15th in Football Outsiders’ DVOA, so even factoring in the Ravens’ defensive line woes, there may not be the explosion of point in Pittsburgh that we’ve been accustomed to seeing.
It’s hard to see the Ravens doing much on offense but could they run the ball and keep it close on a windy Wednesday afternoon? I believe the answer is yes.
- Pick: Steelers 20-10
- Bets: Ravens +10.5, Under 42