It’s Monday and that means football. Tonight’s game features two teams that heading in two very different directions, as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will travel to the Meadowlands to take on the New York Giants.
The Bucs are 5-2 and in a tie for the NFC South lead with rival New Orleans Saints. Tampa is widely being considered the front runner to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl. The addition of Tom Brady along with many others combined with a superior defense has Tampa getting better and better by the week.
The New York Giants, well, not so much. New York is struggling at 1-6 and sits last in the worst division in football. Daniel Jones has consistently turned the ball over via interceptions and fumbles dating back to last year. The Giants have no margin for error in this matchup against the Bucs or it could get very ugly.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are favored to win by 12.5 points with the total set at 45.0 for Monday Night Football. The temperature will be in the low 40’s with a little wind at kickoff tonight. Let’s take a look at some wagers for the game…
Tampa Bay Bucs -12.5 (-110)
This is quite a mismatch. As previously mentioned, these two teams are headed in two very different directions. Tampa Bay defensive coordinator, Todd Bowles, is a master at bringing pressure and disguising it. If Daniel Jones does one thing well, it is turning the ball over. Jones will not be comfortable in the pocket at any point in tonight’s game and may turn it over more than usual.
On the other side of the ball, Tampa Bay’s offense is getting better every week. Brady is using all receivers at his disposal and every opponent is having trouble slowing this offense down.
This line is not going to be enough for the hapless Giants. The Giants may look like they have been competitive if you look at the final scores of their most recent games, but who were they playing? Their last three games have been close, but they have also been against three of the worst teams in the NFL. Their only win was a one-point victory over a dreadful Washington Football Team. The Giants have not faced a team of this caliber. This is a bad matchup for New York on both sides of the ball. This could be a blood bath.
Tampa Bay Winning Margin 19-24 Points (+475)
If you’re in the belief that Tampa is going to win easy, then this would be a value play. +475 is a good value in what will be a one-sided affair. The Giants will have trouble scoring in tonight’s contest. Tampa Bay will be able to call their number here.
Scotty Miller Over 46.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Miller is the Buccaneers leading receiver at this point in the season. Partially because he is the only receiver that has been healthy for each game this season. Chris Godwin will miss tonight’s game due to injury. Mike Evans will play but always attracts double coverage which should open things up on the other side of the field. Brady has looked very comfortable throwing the ball to Miller. Also, in spite of his size, Miller has become a downfield threat more than a possession receiver. Scotty is averaging over 16 yards per catch and should take advantage of a poor New York secondary.
Tom Brady Over 260.5 Passing Yards (-118)
There is one thing that the New York defense can hang their hat on and that is stopping the run. They are at least mediocre at stopping the run. Running the ball is not what Tampa Bay does anyway. Expect Brady to throw the ball all over the yard tonight. He has almost all of his weapons and will put them all on display in a prime time game. Gronk has been an unexpected bright spot in this offense in recent weeks.
Tampa will make big play after big play tonight and throwing the ball downfield is what they do best.
Wayne Gallman Under 37.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
The Buccaneers defense is the best in the NFL at stopping the run. They are allowing only 66 rushing yards per game this season and the Giants are down to their third-string running back in Gallman due to injuries to Saquon Barkley and Devonta Freeman.
The game plan cannot be to run the ball for any team when faced with the Tampa Bay defense. Every team that thinks they can run the ball against Tampa quickly abandons that thought.
The Giants will be playing from behind early in tonight’s game and will not be able to consider running the ball. They will be passing to try to get big chunks to stay in the game.
*Odds via DraftKings