The Los Angeles Chargers will be traveling to New Orleans to take on the Saints in a Monday Night Football showdown. Rookie Justin Herbert will be starting at quarterback for the Chargers and has been very impressive so far this season. The Chargers come into this contest with a 1-3 record trailing the Kansas City Chiefs by 2.5 games in the AFC West Division.
The Saints are currently seven-point favorites with the total set at 50 points. So what can we expect to see in tonight’s contest? Let’s take a look:
Joshua Kelley Under 49.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
Joshua Kelley has had a pretty decent rookie season thus far. He has 52 carries for 174 yards and his workload is sure to increase due to the Austin Ekeler injury last week. However, this is not a good matchup for Kelley.
If you take a closer look at the numbers, the rookie running back picked up 167 yards on 43 carries in the first three weeks of the season. In those three games the Chargers went up against the 29th, 28th, and 25th ranked rushing defenses. So what happens when he sees a good rushing defense? Well, if their last contest is any indication, it’s not going to go well.
Last week in Tampa Bay, Kelley had nine carries for seven yards. Not good. The New Orleans Saints rank sixth in rushing yards allowed so far this year. This seems like a tall task for the rookie running back tonight.
Justin Herbert Over 260.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Along the same thought process, if the running game is not working, Herbert will be throwing the ball all night. There should be plenty of scoring in tonight’s game. Justin Herbert had 290 passing yards last week when the rushing game was shut down and this contest should play out like that contest in Tampa. The Chargers are likely to be trailing for much of the game tonight as New Orleans usually comes out playing like their hair is on fire in prime time games.
Keenan Allen Over 77.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
For many of the same reasons, Keenan Allen should have a big night. Allen is a stud receiver and will be the beneficiary of a pass-happy offense. New Orleans has some key injuries in their defensive secondary. Allen should capitalize as he presents matchup problems against most NFL secondaries.
Drew Brees Over 0.5 Interceptions (+175)
This is a value play at +175. Much has been made this season about Brees’ inability to throw the ball downfield. However, last week, the Saints started to stretch the field. As with any good quarterback, the best way to slow them down is to get pressure on them. The Chargers have a better than average pass rush. Joey Bosa is their best pass rusher, but he is questionable to play in this game. Obviously, it would be a bonus if he does suit up.
If the Chargers can get to Brees, he’s obviously more vulnerable to turning the ball over. Drew has been inaccurate, by his standards, this year. At a price of +175, at least one interception may be worth a look.
*Odds via DraftKings