Moving on from NFL Week 2: Bloodbath Edition, welcome to this week’s edition of NFL Breakdown. We focus on three games you have to catch plus all the info that you’ll need ahead of the contests. This week, our attention is on the matchups between the Chiefs vs Ravens, Rams vs Bills, and Cowboys vs Seahawks.
Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens
- Spread: Ravens -3.5 (-110)
- Point Total: 54 (-110)
The Ravens game made our Week 2 breakdown and they’re back for a potential AFC Championship matchup against the Chiefs. Lamar Jackson played well and led the team in rush attempts. Never trailing, Baltimore’s defense held the Texans to 51 yards rushing and Justin Tucker hit four field goals.
Kansas City had a much tougher time against last-minute replacement QB Justin Herbert. Patrick Mahomes didn’t get it going until the second half and Clyde Edwards-Helaire fell way off of his game one performance. If Herbert and the Chargers took up just a little more time, Harrison Butker may not have had a chance (or three) to win it.
This matchup features the last two MVPs and both teams are 2-0. Each team rushed well in week one, and each defense smothered the run in week two. This game should help us figure out which is the exception, and which is the rule. Both teams are healthy, should Sammy Watkins suit up this week, so whatever happens, we’ll have a solid lead on each moving forward. I didn’t make picks last week, but I would absolutely take the Chiefs +3.5. They have too many weapons and this is not a divisional opponent like the Chargers.
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Los Angeles Rams vs Buffalo Bills
- Spread Bills: -2.5 (-110)
- Point Total: 47.5 (-110)
In the post-Brady AFC East, the Buffalo Bills are 2-0 and look like the most complete team. Josh Allen has thrown over 700 yards and 6 touchdowns the first two weeks, clearly benefitting from the addition of Stefon Diggs. To be fair, they’ve beaten the Jets (good Gase what a dumpster fire) and the Dolphins, but division games and Fitzmagic are nothing to scoff at.
The Rams are also 2-0 and seemingly on a collision course with the Seahawks and Cardinals in what may still be the best division in football. Fresh off a beatdown of the Eagles in which they intercepted Carson Wentz twice, they’ll look to break Allen’s streak of 300+ yard games. Even with the loss of Cam Akers last week, LA was still able to rush for 179 yards and two touchdowns.
A battle of early unbeatens, this is the first real test for both teams. The Rams haven’t yet played a team that relied so heavily on the pass and the Bills haven’t leaned into the run as often as the Cowboys and Eagles. Expect both teams to try to get the run game going but ultimately end up in a shootout. I like the Bills at -2.5 and I’ll be taking the over on points, but really this shapes up to be an intriguing matchup for both teams.
Dallas Cowboys vs Seattle Seahawks
Spread: Seahawks -5 (-110)
Point Totals: 57 (-110)
Russell Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks put on an absolute show against the Cam Newton-led Patriots last week. The 30th ranked Seattle defense stuffed Newton at the goal line to seal the victory in the final seconds. Russ’s 9 touchdowns and 83% completion percentage through two weeks stunned the Falcons and Patriots. His ability to move in the backfield and drop passes on a dime to DK Metcalf are mind-blowing. I don’t know who pissed him off, but Wilson seems to be on some sort of mission this season.
Dallas bounced back from their week one, three-point loss to the Rams in spectacular fashion. Dak Prescott threw for 450 yards and one touchdown, adding three scores on the ground. Somehow, Ezekiel Elliot still managed to get 22 carries and averaged 4 yards per attempt and adding a score. The real story in that game was another Atlanta choke-job, but that’s for another day. Sometimes it is better to be lucky than good, but the Cowboys were both last week.
Giving up 30 points is rarely a winning recipe in the NFL, however, Seattle has done it twice and won both games. It will be interesting to see how long Russell Wilson can keep this pace. Dallas has not allowed a QB to throw for 300 yards yet this season, but neither Jared Goff nor Matt Ryan have Wilson’s poise and vision (nor do they have Metcalf). Seattle at -5 and over 57 seem like safe plays this week, but I have plenty of questions. Can the Seahawks get the same level of production out of Chris Carson running the ball they did against New England? Can Ezekiel Elliot break 100 yards in a game this season? Will Dak take advantage of the Seattle defense that’s given up 847 passing yards in the first two games? Who has more magic, the Seahawks or the Cowboys? Whose luck has run out? Find out next time on NFL Breakdown!
*Odds via DraftKings