It’s Thursday and in Week 3 of the NFL season, we have the one you’ve all been waiting for…Dolphins-Jaguars. On paper, this may not seem like a marquee matchup but this should be an exciting game to watch.
The Jaguars offense has been very efficient in the first couple weeks, winning a shocker in Week 1 over the Colts and losing by a field goal at Tennessee last week. Gardner Minshew has been very impressive thus far and the Dolphin defense shouldn’t put up much resistance to Minshew and company this evening.
The Dolphins hobble into tonight’s contest at 0-2 with losses to division rivals New England and Buffalo. Miami has moved the ball well considering the opposition they have faced. The Patriots and Bills were two of the best defenses in the NFL last season, so expect the Dolphin offense to move the ball even better tonight than they did during their first two tilts.
Let’s see what’s on the menu for tonight’s game…
Myles Gaskin Over 39.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
He’s not a big name and he’s not a big guy, but he has been getting the majority of carries for the Dolphins and should get the workload tonight. Jacksonville has been pretty stout against the run through the first two weeks of the season.
Gaskin had 9 carries for 40 yards and 7 carries for 46 yards, respectively, in his two contests this season. That may not seem like much, but as mentioned, that was against much better defenses than what Jacksonville has to offer.
If Miami can muster up a lead at any point in this game, Gaskin will get plenty of chances to surpass an extremely low total. He also has breakaway speed and is again expected to lead the Dolphins in attempts.
Myles Gaskin Over 17.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
In what was a run-heavy offense in Week 1 vs. New England, Myles had 4 catches for 26 yards and 6 catches for 36 yards to follow that up in week 2. He should provide a matchup problem for the Jaguars defensive linebackers.
He has above-average receiving skills and the Jacksonville defense allowed 17 receptions for 142 yards to the Indianapolis running backs in week 1. Expect this total to be over before Halftime.
DJ Chark Under 52.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Chark is the only downfield threat that Jacksonville has. Chark is a game-time decision to play tonight and did not participate in practice Wednesday. If he does play, he may not be 100 percent.
Through two weeks, the Dolphins have the worst pass defense in the NFL, as Football Outsiders’ DVOA indicates (Jacksonville just ahead of them). With Chark being the only downfield threat, expect Chark to get a lot of attention by Miami’s secondary.
Total Over 48.5 (-110)
This is pretty simple, the two defenses in tonight’s game rank 31st & 32nd in the NFL. The Jaguars have scored 57 points so far this season against better defenses than they are going to see tonight.
The Dolphins have faced two of the better defenses in the NFL. They are coming off a 28 point performance as they got the backdoor cover against Buffalo last week.
Expect these offenses to move the ball at will against one another. There should be plenty of points scored. No one has this game circled on their calendar, but these are the ones that usually surprise you.
If you’re a fan of defense – don’t watch this game. But if you like offense, it should be one to watch.
*Odds via DraftKings