For the longest time, it was assumed that Tua Tagovailoa was going to be drafted in the top-5. The Miami Dolphins were the logical fit at No. 5, though the Chargers could trade past them to nab the QB.

Now, it appears the arms race on draft night will be for Justin Herbert and not Tua Tagovailoa. According to Matt Miller of Bleacher Report, Tua may be in for a long night next Thursday.

He’s QB2 in my rankings and one of my favorite people and players in this class, but a broken hand (plus surgery), two ankle surgeries and the major hip injury are huge question marks that are tough to check off your list of worries when you can’t get him in for physicals and have your own doctors evaluate his medicals.

Should Tua fall? No, but he could find himself outside the top 10 perhaps with an Aaron Rodgers- or Teddy Bridgewater-like drop to the end of Round 1 and into what ends up being a better situation for him.

 

At least two teams have “flunked” Tua for medical reasons and one of those teams pick in the top-10. The quarterback’s hip is a concern, but there’s more. Teams are worried about the “multitude of injuries” Tagovailoa suffered in his collegiate career at the University of Alabama.

Tua Tagovailia Draft Spot

Over 5.5 +106
Under 5.5 -134

* via Fan Duel

 

Rumors on Tua are all over the place. There was chatter that the Jaguars could trade up for him, though they seem to be all-in on Gardner Minshew despite some pleas for them to ink Cam Newton or other QBs. The Jaguars own the No. 9 and No. 20 pick in the upcoming draft. The franchise also has an extra first-rounder in next year’s draft, which gives them the ability to maneuver in the draft if they so chose to.

Teams will not have as much intel on players as they are accustomed to heading into the draft because of the COVID-19 pandemic. This is particularly challenging for evaluating Tagovailoa, which could mean a tumble for the college great.